So this is my thing. Whereas some people collect stamps, pimp out their Dungeons and Dragons characters, re-design their house, or otherwise do something useful, it seems I have found a talent in predicting an awards show that doesn't really matter and is often quite infuriating. But it's fun to do it, so why not?
While watching last night's Golden Globes, I found that most of my predictions were just slightly off (I called more acting wins for 12 Years a Slave that Dallas Buyer's Club). So my whole "I was 100 percent accurate last year" brag might soon be going down the toilet, but it's still worth a shot.
Small reminder that we don't even have any nominees yet. Once we do, I'll revise this post or maybe make another one.
I'm seeing 12 Years A Slave vs. Gravity, but I'd bet money, albeit a small amount on 12 Years. Steve McQueen has thus far not made much of a splash with the Academy, but this movie pretty much blew everybody away with it's accurate and brutal depiction of slavery in Lousiana. Gravity however was not only very well recieved critically, but also a special effects tour de force from a well loved director that also made all the monies at the box office. It's a tight race this year. The only possible upset is American Hustle.
Chiwetel Ejiofor is so far the forerunner, but you could see LEONARDO DICAPRIO FINALLY GET HIS OSCAR, but this might not be a thing because Wolf of Wall Street's explicit and excessive scenes, which to be fair, was the point the movie was trying to make. If it's not Leo or Chiwetel, definitely Oscar Issac for Inside Llewyn Davis (WHICH I HAVE STILL NOT SEEN AND THIS MAKES ME IRRATIONALLY ANGRY). Also, I know that fact that it came out in April kind of kills it's Oscar chances, but I'm hoping Chadwick Boseman from "42" might get a nom.
Cate Blanchett has been the forerunner ever since she played a downtrodden socialite in Blue Jasmine, but Amy Adams also might get away with this one. And if it's not either of them, it will be Sandra Bullock for (an absolutely stunning performance in) Gravity, or Judi Dench for Philomena.
Best Supporting Actress
It looks like Jennifer Lawrence might win yet another award, but I'm honestly not too enthralled with that, because American Hustle wasn't even that good, and pales in comparison to Lupita N'yongo's performance in 12 Years A Slave (and y'all know I love Jennifer. It's just that she played this samek kind of character last year in Silver Linings Playbook too). Side note: I don't know if this would in leading actress, but Scarlett Johansson just might garner a nomination for her voice acting in Spike Jonze's "her", where she plays an operating system that (understandably) Joaquin Pheonix falls in love with. It's next on my to-watch list.
Best Supporting Actor
This one is definitely a toss up. You've got Fassbender for 12 Years a Slave, Jared Leto playing a trasgendered person in Dallas Buyer's Club, Bradley Cooper in American Hustle (One of the best performances in a mediocre movie all about good performances), and some others.
Probably "Let It Go" from Frozen. It's basically Idina Menzel's lost Wicked track, a fresh version of Defying Gravity for a new generation. Although U2's song for Mandela might sneak in, especially due to their long partnership and Mandela's recent death. I would also like to see if Inside Llewyn Davis can get past the guidelines for Best Song, but considering that it won't, it's more than likely it won't even get the nomination.
I'm hoping for The Book Thief to pick up something (ANYTHING), and it's soundtrack is John Williams at his non-blockbuster best. Soft, moving, and still listenable. Hans Zimmer for 12 Years a Slave or the soundtrack to All Is Lost are other possible contenders.
Best Special Effects
PACIFIC RIM PLEASE PLEASE, but on the other hand, Gravity won this year for it's groundbreaking (ahahahaha) zero gravity work, so this one is pretty much a shut out.
Best Original Screenplay/Adapted Screenplay
This one is a pretty tight two way as well, with 'her' and Inside Llewyn Davis being my top two. The academy always likes to give this one to the slightly offbeat movies that probably won't win any acting awards. That being sad, the guidelines on these things are so confusing that I'll just put in the best shots here.Wolf of Wallstreet and American Hustle could probably get in too.
Again, it's McQueen vs. Cuaron (sorry, my accent marks aren't working with me today). Although I'm a little more inclined towards Gravity simply because it was a much technically harder movie to make that still packs an emotional punch, whereas 12 Years A Slave called for a lot more emotion and some pretty excruciating scenes. Both have excellent merits.
So that's it for now, if I didn't mention something or you think I'm dead wrong, please let me know, because this looks to be a year of upsets.